政改方案

羊年将至，市面上出现了多本运程书，为一众市民、街坊指点迷津。笔者也想大活西游一番。

数个月前，当时“占中”还未出现，曾经和朋友们谈起对香港特区政府的政改方案是否能获得立法会通过的问题。

个人根据对历史、时事的理解，分析，把自己于2014 年9月9日在日记里写下的预言告诉了朋友们。现在，“占中”过去，特区政府正进行第二轮咨询，借这个机会立此存照，看看自己的预测会否应验。

 2014  - Occupy Central will take place but had no impact on the stance of the Central Government.

 2015 - Political reform proposal will not be passed in the Legco.

 2016 - still about 1/3 of the seats would be won by the Pan Democrats.

 2017 - CY got re-elected as Chief Executive.

 2020 - there would be discussion for political reform for Hong Kong.

Same framework as proposed in 2014.

 2022  - Chief Executive becomes directly elected after endorsement by the Nomination Committee.

谨此声明，笔者对政改没有立场，只愿可以安居乐业。可惜，按推测，香港政局还会继续纷扰，大家好自为知。当然，任何时候都有人富贵，有人贫穷，看自己如何审时度世，把握机会。祝福香港！祝福大家！