陳正犖
陳正犖
陳正犖

港銀行股有條件追落後

2021/02/23 04:43:23 網誌分類: 經濟
23 Feb
          花旗估計香港銀行業去年盈利倒退約19%,主要受收入受壓拖累,由於去年初起市場已逐步調低盈利預測,反映了去年大部份風險,業績預計不會為市場帶來大驚嚇。今年盈利前景方面,業界或保持審慎,分析員亦可能調低預測,首先是今年以來一個月期香港銀行同業拆息平均水平,較去年第四季下跌了13個基點,銀行首季淨息差或進一步收窄;第二是系統貸款增長仍有待香港與內地通關後才改善,即可能要留待下半年。不過年初以來港股成交按年倍增,帶動香港銀行業非利息收入表現強勁,股市向上亦支持保險業務中的估值變動收益。

        吸引收益基金投資

          近年香港銀行股相對高增長行業,普偏不太受投資者喜愛。雖然如此,行業較高及增長的股息率對收益基金這些機構投資者具吸引力,尤其是在宏觀前景改善的時候。香港銀行一般亦對資本回報較保守,在監管機構指引下,去年派息比率料持平,但是隨著疫情不明朗因素消褪,他們亦有望恢復疫情前的分派政策。

          香港銀行股較去年10月低位反彈19至37%,年初以來累升3至14%,反彈幅度仍落後於整體大市。其實自2019年以來已經跑輸恒生指數,可以歸咎於宏觀前景轉差及利率下跌。往績顯示,他們相對恒指表現,與盈利增長預期有密切關連度,因此今次業績期同時公佈的前景指引,或是未來股價表現風向標。他們的股價亦有機會受長債息率上升所支持,這指標某程度上反映經濟前景好轉。

        花旗銀行財富管理業務高級投資策略師

        陳正犖

        
■香港銀行一般亦對資本回報較保守,但隨疫情不明朗因素消褪,他們亦有望恢復疫情前的分派政策。p/  
 ■香港銀行一般亦對資本回報較保守,但隨疫情不明朗因素消褪,他們亦有望恢復疫情前的分派政策。

   

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240. https://www.transtats.bts.gov/exit.asp?url=https://tutorkingdom.hk

241. https://www.racked.com/users/mayerschultz

242. http://www.feedbooks.com/user/6359643/profile

243. http://als.anits.edu.in/members/childghost60/

244. http://laser.inf.ethz.ch/2015/index.php?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=1041938

245. https://www.fanfiction.net/u/13867966/

246. https://8tracks.com/powerbarge0

247. https://www.pcb.its.dot.gov/PageRedirect.aspx?redirectedurl=https://tutorkingdom.hk

248. http://web.sfusd.edu/Services/research_public/Lists/Sample%20Copy/DispForm.aspx?ID=253671

249. http://daf.csulb.edu/cgi-bin/rd.pl?u=https://tutorkingdom.hk

250. https://knowyourmeme.com/users/shrinequilt4/

251. http://guia.clarin.com/paintwaste0/usuario

252. http://wiki.soippo.edu.ua/index.php?title=5-Essential-Elements-For--s

253. https://www.indiegogo.com/individuals/24237721

254. http://saskatoon.cs.rit.edu:10001/recesscarbon4

255. https://register.scotland.gov.uk/Subscribe/WidgetSignup?url=https://tutorkingdom.hk

256. https://galter.northwestern.edu/exit?url=https://tutorkingdom.hk

257. http://bbs.now.qq.com/home.php?mod=space&uid=305215

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259. http://www.bsaa.edu.ru/bitrix/rk.php?goto=https://tutorkingdom.hk

260. https://visual.ly/users/mayerschultz77tobxga/portfolio

261. https://www.instructables.com/member/edgebeer0/

262. https://www.gaiaonline.com/profiles/stitchpuma9/45049659/

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266. https://www.curbed.com/users/nyborgkornum

267. http://web.imim.mcu.edu.tw/zh-hant/comment/429909#comment-429909

268. https://setiweb.ssl.berkeley.edu/beta/team_display.php?teamid=819902

269. https://answers.informer.com/index.php?qa=user&qa_1=ibrahimbritt7457

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271. https://www.boredpanda.com/author/nyborgkornum61cgjkdt/

272. https://www.transtats.bts.gov/exit.asp?url=https://tutorkingdom.hk

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276. https://www.sbnation.com/users/nyborgkornum

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278. https://www.fanfiction.net/u/13867975/

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280. http://laser.inf.ethz.ch/2015/index.php?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=1041948

281. http://web.sfusd.edu/Services/research_public/Lists/Sample%20Copy/DispForm.aspx?ID=253669

282. http://daf.csulb.edu/cgi-bin/rd.pl?u=https://tutorkingdom.hk

283. http://guia.clarin.com/bullbeer1/usuario

284. https://knowyourmeme.com/users/spoonberet1/

285. http://wiki.soippo.edu.ua/index.php?title=The-2Minute-Rule-for--v

286. https://www.tor.com/members/pigeonbarge5/

287. https://www.indiegogo.com/individuals/24237709

288. https://register.scotland.gov.uk/Subscribe/WidgetSignup?url=https://tutorkingdom.hk

289. http://saskatoon.cs.rit.edu:10001/seedwarm1

290. http://bbs.now.qq.com/home.php?mod=space&uid=305216

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294. http://www.bsaa.edu.ru/bitrix/rk.php?goto=https://tutorkingdom.hk

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330. https://www.curbed.com/users/kelleyklause

331. http://web.imim.mcu.edu.tw/zh-hant/comment/429909#comment-429909

332. https://setiweb.ssl.berkeley.edu/beta/team_display.php?teamid=819900

333. https://www.gapyear.com/members/keycolt0/

334. https://answers.informer.com/index.php?qa=user&qa_1=covingtonbirk6979

335. https://www.codecademy.com/profiles/pineberet0

336. https://www.goodreads.com/user/show/118955275-hein

337. https://www.boredpanda.com/author/kelleyklausen25eqzeis/

338. https://www.transtats.bts.gov/exit.asp?url=https://tutorkingdom.hk

339. https://www.eater.com/users/kelleyklause

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343. https://www.inventables.com/users/clarkknight1651

344. http://als.anits.edu.in/members/elbowcolt30/

345. https://www.fanfiction.net/u/13868006/

346. http://laser.inf.ethz.ch/2015/index.php?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=1041989

347. https://8tracks.com/relishkayak7

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354. https://knowyourmeme.com/users/billbarge0/

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357. https://www.indiegogo.com/individuals/24237711

358. https://register.scotland.gov.uk/Subscribe/WidgetSignup?url=https://tutorkingdom.hk

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363. http://imfl.sci.pfu.edu.ru/forum/index.php?action=profile;area=forumprofile;u=1025154

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369. http://old.kam-pod.gov.ua/user/relishwarm5/

370. http://www.kellyandbuzz.sakura.ne.jp/skc/index.php?option=com_k2&view=itemlist&task=user&id=651375

371. https://www.curbed.com/users/jerniganlani

372. http://web.imim.mcu.edu.tw/zh-hant/comment/429908#comment-429908

373. https://www.codecademy.com/profiles/keymouth0

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388. http://web.sfusd.edu/Services/research_public/Lists/Sample%20Copy/DispForm.aspx?ID=253646

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398. http://bbs.now.qq.com/home.php?mod=space&uid=305202

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